Unfortunately, the COVID pandemic has not only become a medical and scientific battleground, but also a political one. I first started thinking about this in the late spring of 2020 and found a post I wrote on Facebook about it on June 21, 2020.

Here’s the updated view of the election/COVID data. I’ve had a couple people tell me they are curious to follow this.
I labeled the trend lines since it could be easy to confuse which one is Democratic and which is Republican given the case counts in the background.

The main takeaway is that while Democratic counties are climbing, the trend line is still below zero, but that’s likely to change in two days. I suspect that is largely attributable to population density in those areas.

The Republican counties meanwhile are well into exponential growth of the disease already.

I wish there was a way to do these a little differently without a ton of work but the way I have my data table set up to select counties and voting outcomes forces me to make to separate ones and then use transparency to superimpose them on each other. I also labeled the trend lines so it would be harder to confuse them. Everything is to equal scale.


Obviously, I’ve refined this quite a bit since that time and others have demonstrated how that is impacting people as well, and is primarily much worse in the most Republican areas and the least in the most Democratic ones. Since this is such an unexpected outcome of the spread of the pandemic, it’s of particular interest to me and worth it’s own tab with links.