I still am bothered by the data out of China. Even with new cases numbering only in the hundreds since about the third week of February, The case fatality rate is still climbing. That’s distressing to me. The implication is that many people are not getting better and spending considerable time in ICU beds. Since the chance that we will build hospitals in a week here is zero, this is more evidence that we are going to have a hospital bed crisis in just a couple of weeks. The only question is where will this happen first? I’m leaning toward NYC, LA, or Seattle.
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